Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.021305 0.022911 0.024581 0.026447 0.028478 0.030622 0.033058
2026-01-11 0.018711 0.021032 0.023568 0.026553 0.029979 0.033796 0.038386
2026-01-18 0.016957 0.019690 0.022790 0.026582 0.031113 0.036375 0.042984
2026-01-25 0.015730 0.018751 0.022283 0.026741 0.032247 0.038868 0.047492
2026-02-01 0.014545 0.017723 0.021533 0.026470 0.032745 0.040516 0.050965
2026-02-08 0.013479 0.016740 0.020736 0.026035 0.032940 0.041719 0.053862
2026-02-15 0.012674 0.016014 0.020189 0.025845 0.033387 0.043212 0.057165
2026-02-22 0.011934 0.015315 0.019620 0.025565 0.033662 0.044448 0.060146
2026-03-01 0.011312 0.014729 0.019152 0.025373 0.034014 0.045770 0.063282
2026-03-08 0.010755 0.014193 0.018715 0.025181 0.034332 0.047032 0.066372
2026-03-15 0.010341 0.013825 0.018476 0.025237 0.034980 0.048768 0.070225
2026-03-22 0.009906 0.013403 0.018136 0.025123 0.035364 0.050123 0.073566
2026-03-29 0.009501 0.013018 0.017850 0.025099 0.035915 0.051813 0.077627
2026-04-05 0.009156 0.012702 0.017647 0.025184 0.036636 0.053801 0.082297
2026-04-12 0.008819 0.012381 0.017416 0.025209 0.037255 0.055655 0.086865
2026-04-19 0.008544 0.012133 0.017277 0.025358 0.038062 0.057831 0.092085
2026-04-26 0.008178 0.011733 0.016890 0.025103 0.038213 0.058962 0.095619
2026-05-03 0.007796 0.011292 0.016421 0.024693 0.038087 0.059624 0.098378
2026-05-10 0.007500 0.010967 0.016112 0.024515 0.038318 0.060872 0.102219
2026-05-17 0.007201 0.010626 0.015762 0.024252 0.038389 0.061846 0.105622
2026-05-24 0.006942 0.010334 0.015474 0.024071 0.038581 0.063026 0.109463
2026-05-31 0.006698 0.010055 0.015195 0.023890 0.038759 0.064182 0.113323
2026-06-07 0.006520 0.009875 0.015063 0.023942 0.039335 0.066058 0.118654